トレンド中のレンジ


トレンド中のレンジを狙う『メサ』

 

フェニックスフェイズの基本手法がメサ。水平線を1本描くだけというシンプルさ!
「最初に紹介するのはメサという手法。これもとてもシンプルです。フェニックスフェイズでトレンドが出ているからといって、相場は常に一方向に動くわけではありません。上昇しながらも、途中でうろうろと方向感がなくなって、そのレンジを抜けたらまた上がったり、といった動きになります」

上昇→レンジ→上昇→押し目→上昇など、トレンド発生でも、ずっと上がりっぱなしではない。レンジや押し目のときに安く買えれば、より大きく利益をとれる。

「メサはスペイン語でテーブル。フェニックスフェイズの最中に為替レートが上にも下にも行かず、うろうろとレンジを形成していたら、メサのチャンスです。チャートにテーブルを描きましょう」

テーブルの描き方は簡単。レンジの高値・安値を上辺・下辺にして、水平線を描くだけ。


「上昇トレンド中のメサなら、レンジの高値に、下降トレンド中なら安値に引いたラインが”メサライン”。このメサラインを超えてローソク足がクローズしたら、エントリーまであと一歩。次にトレンドの方向と同じ色のローソク足が出たら、エントリーです」

メサラインを超えたこと、トレンド方向と同じ色のローソク足が出たこと、この2つがエントリーの必須条件となる。

「ただし、ヒゲだけがメサラインを超えたようなときは見送りです。ラインを引き直すか、あきらめて次の機会を待ちましょう」

メサラインのちょい上にエントリー用の逆指値を置いておくと、ヒゲのメサライン超えにひっかかってしまうので要注意!

「利益確定の目安は、上昇トレンドなら前回の高値、下降トレンドなら前回安値になります。もし、前回の高値・安値が近くになければ『ちょうど』のポイントを使いましょう。『91円ちょうど』とか『138円ちょうど』といったポイントです。30〜50pips程度の利幅を目安に探してみてください」

88円57銭のメサラインを超えて買いで入ったけど、前回高値が近くになければ89円の少し手前、88円95銭くらいが利益確定のポイントになる。これは指値でOK。

「忘れてはいけないのが損切りです。FXで勝つためには『お金を守ること』が何より大切ですから。メサでの損切りのポイントは、62EMAを超えてローソク足がクローズしたときとなります」

買いで入ったのに、下げてしまって62EMAより下でローソク足の終値がついたら損切り。売りで入ったときは、その逆になる。

「あるいは『直近安値より下でローソク足がクローズしたとき』としても構いません。どちらにせよ、損切りだけは絶対に入れるようにして、またトレード数量も増やしすぎないように気をつけてください。目安としては、100万円で1万通貨、10万円で1000通貨。少ないと思うかもしれませんが、FXで最終的に勝ち残ろうと思ったら、そのくらい気を配るべき」


「トレンド中のレンジ」への1,363件のフィードバック

  1. Pope Francis has upset a certain group of American Catholics who want the Catholic Church to be the Republican Party at prayer. For them, the biggest thing in the Church right now is defeating the HHS contraception mandate — a provision of law which will change the behavior of exactly zero people. Pope Francis would rather emphasize things like bringing Catholics back to the confessional, encouraging Catholics to become closer to the Blessed Mother, turning the hearts of Christians away from materialism and consumerism, and towards the permanent things — in other words, he is focused on the fundamentals of the Faith, not on political fights. Rod, I am shocked that your conservative priest friend would not understand this, and that he would write that way about the Holy Father, and I’m a plenty conservative Catholic myself. I also resent what he said about people who graduate from Catholic schools. Disparaging the people who struggle to keep Catholic institutions of learning alive in a hostile age is a pretty sickening way for a priest to behave.
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